Get started

Ask a question

Write a question, let AI draft the details, or import one from a prediction market.

Steps

  1. In the Library, choose New question.
  2. To start from the shape of a question you ask often, pick a template under Start from a template at the top of the form.
  3. To copy a question from Kalshi, Polymarket or Metaculus, paste its link into Import from URL and choose Import.
  4. Otherwise, write your question in Question. A good question is clear, has an end date and has an outcome someone can check later.
  5. Pick a Question type, or leave it empty and let the AI choose.
  6. Choose Complete with AI. Prolepsia drafts the description and the resolution criteria from your title.
  7. Read the draft and change anything that is not right.
  8. Under Review assumptions, choose Yes, keep this for each assumption you agree with, or No, change it to correct it.
  9. Add notes or files under Additional forecast context if every forecast should read them.
  10. Choose Create question to save it, or Run forecast to save it and start a forecast straight away. The forecast setup and the run mode sit next to Run forecast.

Good to know

  • Drafting with AI costs no credits. A forecast does.
  • You can edit the wording and the details after you create the question.