Keep forecasts current

Rerun automatically

Let Prolepsia start a new forecast when news would move the answer.

Steps

  1. Open the question and choose More actions, then Forecast schedule.
  2. Find Rerun automatically when new information arrives.
  3. Turn on Rerun when new information would meaningfully change the answer.
  4. Set how big a change should start a new forecast.
  5. Under Preset, pick the preset the reruns use.
  6. Choose Save auto-rerun settings. About this question then shows Auto-rerun: On.

Good to know

  • Prolepsia checks for new information on a schedule and estimates how far it would move the forecast.
  • Automatic reruns cost a monthly fee for each question, and each rerun costs the price of its run mode. The panel shows both prices.
  • Forecasts that an automatic rerun starts are labelled Auto-rerun. About this forecast shows how each forecast started.
  • Automatic reruns use the question's forecast setup for Prolepsia records and connections.